Regional Deliveries: How does it work?

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May 14, 2016
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San Diego, CA
#1
We've all been told that deliveries will begin in California and work their way East, but what does that mean for the sum of CA orders. I placed an order online at 7:30PM on the 3/31 before the unveil. That order should put me somewhere in the range of 100,000th to order.

My question is, will the total amount of CA orders skip to the head of the line and be the first to receive vehicles simply because of location? I'm unfamiliar with S and X distributions, so any information would be helpful.

Thanks!
 

garsh

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#2
The correct answer is: nobody really knows.

Given that Musk has stated that everybody who waited in line to make a reservation should get their car in 2017, I'm guessing there won't be a whole lot of "line skipping" based on location. More likely that line skipping will occur based on the options ordered, with higher-optioned cars getting priority.
 

Impatient

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#3
The correct answer is: nobody really knows.

Given that Musk has stated that everybody who waited in line to make a reservation should get their car in 2017, I'm guessing there won't be a whole lot of "line skipping" based on location. More likely that line skipping will occur based on the options ordered, with higher-optioned cars getting priority.
Hi, newbie here. Can you provide a reference for Musk saying that everyone who waited in line should get their car in 2017? I'm not saying you're incorrect, I'm just curious.
 

garsh

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#4
Hi, newbie here. Can you provide a reference for Musk saying that everyone who waited in line should get their car in 2017? I'm not saying you're incorrect, I'm just curious.
Wow, that post was from May of 2016. I usually try to post a link to the source, but failed on this one.
I tried searching for it, but couldn't find it just now. Sorry.

It was probably in some Q&A video, or interview. I tried searching online for a quote from twitter but couldn't find it.
 

Frank99

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#5
Try:
https://cleantechnica.com/2016/05/0...la-model-3-orders-unveiling-elon-musk-tweets/

I don't think the current schedule shows this as possible; there were 100,000+ reservations before the reveal. Even at the aspirational 5000 cars / week that Tesla is hoping to hit by the end of the year, that's 5 months worth of car building at that rate. They would have had to start building 5000 cars a week by Aug 1. 35,000-40,000 is probably a good estimate for the number they'll actually build if everything goes perfectly, based on Elon's guidance of exponential growth with 30 in July, 100 in August, and 1500 in September.
 

Impatient

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#6
Try:
https://cleantechnica.com/2016/05/0...la-model-3-orders-unveiling-elon-musk-tweets/

I don't think the current schedule shows this as possible; there were 100,000+ reservations before the reveal. Even at the aspirational 5000 cars / week that Tesla is hoping to hit by the end of the year, that's 5 months worth of car building at that rate. They would have had to start building 5000 cars a week by Aug 1. 35,000-40,000 is probably a good estimate for the number they'll actually build if everything goes perfectly, based on Elon's guidance of exponential growth with 30 in July, 100 in August, and 1500 in September.
Thanks for the link. I, too, was thinking that it seemed a bit optimistic. Much clarity has ensued since May 2016.