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production delays killing the stock

6K views 24 replies 17 participants last post by  John 
#1 ·
Glad I don't hold any right now but wow. It's going the wrong way!
 
#2 ·
I'm long on T$LA, so I can confidently say who really cares. A short-term blip is just a buying opportunity. Once they're producing 5-10k Model 3's per week no one is going to car that there was a 1-2 month bottleneck in the beginning.
 
#4 ·
TSLA is fairly volatile stock... I don't see anything outside the norm, really. Zoom out. Also, there are too many factors at play influencing Tesla's stock price to simply blame "production delays."
 
#5 ·
TSLA stock has a 52 week high of $389 and 52 week low of $178. Currently at $321. Say it dips with bad news on Model 3 production schedule. My experience is that you avoid a daily or weekly outlook on stocks. Plenty of times this last year you could have sold on pull backs but you would have missed the continued rise. Not saying buy or sell. You have to decide where you put in stops to protect profits and, if looking to buy TSLA, where to get in.
 
#9 · (Edited)
The 'correct' technical pullback is the time to buy. Easy to say, hard to identify and execute.
Maybe we already passed that sweet spot.....or not.
 
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#12 ·
its down $16.18 from the close today in the after hour trading at 1.47m shares (roughly 20% of the daily volume).

I had the earnings call on for a bit. Elon ranted at the beginning for the opening remarks, then calmed down during Q&A. Unfortunately, they said nothing to ease the uncertainty of TM3 on the call.

Like others, some of my TSLA holdings are from $35/share 2013 days so I'm in for the long haul but I have sold and bought along the way. Just wish I sold more above $350.....

With TSLA, its often the case taking few steps forward and few steps back....
 
#15 · (Edited)
Caveat Emptor! "Don't do this at home".
My belief in the brand, plus a few less than perfect technical indicators converged today so I made my first small TSLA buy. We'll see what happens over the long term. Shorters don't know any more than anybody else.
 
#17 ·
<rant>
Not to be too harsh-and I may be misinterpreting your comment-but "Don't do this at home" is definitely good advice with regards to "technical indicators" and technical analysis in general since that approach-examining recent trends in stock price and other company metrics and projecting stock price-makes as much sense as investing by horoscope or by reading tea leaves. If there were any sustainable edge to technical analysis, no wall street firm or hedge fund would do anything other than invest that way. Which they don't. No serious investor sees a "cup with a handle" in a stock chart and invests based on that.

Sorry. Rant over.
</rant>
 
#20 ·
I tried playing the upswings and downswings in the stock to my advantage and found I was sitting on the sidelines as it'd rise 10 or 20% over a month or two. I'm technically down a fair bit right now as my last buy in was 349 but I figure just hold for the long term. By the time I get my car the stock has to be in good shape.
 
#22 ·
Yeah, given how volatile the stock is and how dependent it still is on capital markets my own personal opinion is that a TSLA investor should be either:

1. Using "extra" money you can afford to lose
2. Investing for a rather long horizon (3+ years, money not needed until then, no matter what)

I'm in the first camp. The deal I had with my wife was that I could play with a slug of money in order to pay for the Model 3 I've reserved. So once it hit the necessary level, I sold it all. I'm just lucky it worked out that way.

After the recent pullback below $300 I bought back in, but only a fraction of what I owned before. I enjoy going to shareholder meetings, and I believe in the stock long term, but there's a lot of uncertainty right now that I'm not comfortable with given how private the company can be as it works through issues. I have complete sympathy—I think it's poor management practice to focus on shareholders instead of customers and employees—but that makes the stock a little tough to gamble on in the short term. And our long term money is managed by others.

Tesla is maybe only surpassed by SpaceX as the most fascinating tech company right now. The cars are awesome and unconventionally brilliant, and the SpaceX booster landings are essentially engineering porn. But you can love the products and not the stock in the short term. Don't confuse the two, as betting wrong can make you quite sad in the short term.

Longer term? Go for it!
 
#23 ·
Yeah, given how volatile the stock is and how dependent it still is on capital markets my own personal opinion is that a TSLA investor should be either:

1. Using "extra" money you can afford to lose
2. Investing for a rather long horizon (3+ years, money not needed until then, no matter what)

I'm in the first camp. The deal I had with my wife was that I could play with a slug of money in order to pay for the Model 3 I've reserved. So once it hit the necessary level, I sold it all. I'm just lucky it worked out that way.

After the recent pullback below $300 I bought back in, but only a fraction of what I owned before. I enjoy going to shareholder meetings, and I believe in the stock long term, but there's a lot of uncertainty right now that I'm not comfortable with given how private the company can be as it works through issues. I have complete sympathy-I think it's poor management practice to focus on shareholders instead of customers and employees-but that makes the stock a little tough to gamble on in the short term. And our long term money is managed by others.

Tesla is maybe only surpassed by SpaceX as the most fascinating tech company right now. The cars are awesome and unconventionally brilliant, and the SpaceX booster landings are essentially engineering porn. But you can love the products and not the stock in the short term. Don't confuse the two, as betting wrong can make you quite sad in the short term.

Longer term? Go for it!
And i love all the people here who advocate investing in TSLA to pay for your Tesla. There are other companies which might bring better results.

I have a small position with Tesla having foreseen these production issues. I looked like a fool selling at $330 for a couple weeks but have bought a portion back now at $295
 
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