Elon confirms Model 3 still on time with latest financial call

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SoFlaModel3

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I must say the news keeps getting better and better from Tesla these days.

As a pre-unveil reservation holder in Florida, my initial sentiment was to expect the car by Q2 2018 and be happy if it bumped up to Q1 2018.

From a tax credit perspective I was expecting $3,750 and would be happy with $7,500.

After the financial call, my outlook feels a lot more sunny. The possibility of getting the car in Q4 2017 is now floating out there and Q1 2018 now feels a lot more likely. That would most likely also mean the $7,500 tax credit is becoming more and more likely.

Using simple math (my own made up math that is), what if these are the production numbers in 2017 for Model 3:

For the week ending...
  • July 7 (250 cars) (250 total)
  • July 14 (250 cars) (500 total)
  • July 21 (500 cars) (1,000 total)
  • July 28 (500 cars) (1,500 total)
  • August 4 (1,000 cars) (2,500 total)
  • August 11 (1,000 cars) (3,500 total)
  • August 18 (2,000 cars) (5,500 total)
  • August 25 (2,000 cars) (7,500 total)
  • September 1 (3,500 cars) (11,000 total)
  • September 8 (3,500 cars) (14,500 total)
  • September 15 (5,000 cars) (19,500 total)
  • September 22 (5,000 cars) (24,500 total)
  • September 29 (5,000 cars) (29,500 total)
  • October (20,000 cars) (49,500 total)
  • November (20,000 cars) (69,500 total)
  • December (25,000 cars) (84,500 total)
If the schedule can look anything like this, then there is a chance of seeing it this year.

Again, disclaimer, my numbers are completely made up.
 

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